Biden watched Tuesday’s returns with interest and wanted to swiftly call the winning Democrats to congratulate them. To Biden aides, the results validated the strategy of sharpening the contrast with “MAGA Republicans” that helped Democrats outperform expectations in 2022. In the Biden campaign’s view, the off-year election results are more analogous than current polling to the resources, investment and direct communication with voters that will go into the elections next year. Indeed, that has been the mantra from Biden’s broader orbit since Tuesday night: Polls don’t matter, but voters do. “If we want a real window into where voters actually are, we know the best way to measure that is to see how they’re actually voting.” “We’ve heard the press and pundits count Joe Biden out time and time again, but we know that he always proves them wrong,” Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Biden’s campaign manager, told reporters last week. Still, Biden’s team argues that Tuesday’s results only validated the broad popularity of issues that will be core to the president’s reelection campaign, such as abortion rights, democracy and legislative accomplishments including Biden’s nearly two-year-old infrastructure law. Noting Biden’s increasingly aggressive posture against his predecessor, Yarmuth added: “I think that’s an indication that he realizes that he’s got to knock Trump down, not just tout his own record.” “I think I’d be stupid not to be somewhat concerned,” Yarmuth said.
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